Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools

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Duxbury/Thomson Learning, 2001 - 733 páginas
MAKING HARD DECISIONS WITH DECISIONTOOLS is a special version of Bob Clemen's best-selling text, MAKING HARD DECISIONS. This straight-forward book teaches the fundamental ideas of decision analysis, without an overly technical explanation of the mathematics used in management science. This new version incorporates and implements the powerful DecisionTools by Palisade Corporation, the world's leading toolkit for risk and decision analysis. At the end of each chapter, topics are illustrated with step-by-step instructions for DecisionTools. This new version makes the text more useful and relevant to students to business and engineering.

Dentro del libro

 

Contenido

Introduction to Decision Analysis
1
References
15
Modeling Decisions
19
Derechos de autor

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Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools, Volumen1
Robert Taylor Clemen,Terence Reilly
Sin vista previa disponible - 2001
Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools
Robert Taylor Clemen,Terence Reilly
Sin vista previa disponible - 2001

Términos y frases comunes

Accept $2 Billion alternatives amount appropriate assessment beta distribution button calculate Carothers cell certainty equivalent chance event chance node Chapter choice choose consequence node consider Counteroffer $5 Billion creative deci decision analysis decision context decision maker decision node decision problem decision situation decision tree decision-analysis dialog box discussed Eagle Airlines example expected utility expected value exponential utility Final Court Decision forecast fundamental objectives graph Hours Flown important influence diagram input interest rate investment Keeney Liedtke Liedtke's lottery Maximize means objectives normal distribution option overall payoff Pennzoil preferences pretzel probability distribution profit programs Refuse represent result risky sensitivity analysis shown in Figure shows simulation solve specific spreadsheet standard deviation step stochastic dominance structure Suppose Table techniques Texaco tion TopRank trade-offs uncertain events uncertain quantity uncertainty utility function variables weights

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Acerca del autor (2001)

Robert T. Clemen is Professor at the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University. He has been an active contributor to the field of decision analysis since earning his Ph.D. at Indiana University in 1984 and is an authority in the use of expert information in decision and risk analysis. He has interests in applying decision analysis in the areas of energy use and corporate sustainabiligy. Aside from his research interests, Bob has a strong focus on making decision analysis understandable to all students at all levels, ranging from high school students to executives. Terence Reilly is an associate Professor of Mathematics at Babson College. His interests include developing innovative curriculum for MBA programs, particularly distance programs, along with simulation and decision analysis. His research interests are in developing sensitivity analysis techniques and fitting distribution curves to univariate and multivariate uncertainties. Recently, he has developed courses in financial methods using simulation and decision analysis.

Información bibliográfica

TítuloMaking Hard Decisions with DecisionTools
AutoresRobert Taylor Clemen, Terence Reilly
Edición2, revisada
EditorDuxbury/Thomson Learning, 2001
Procedencia del originalUniversidad de Michigan
Digitalizado13 Nov. 2007
ISBN0534365973, 9780534365974
Largo733 páginas
  
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